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COTTON JUMPS UP ;. ^GOVERNMENT ESTIMATES CROf f W AT TEN MILLION BALES r m ,900,000 TOTAL GINNED Total Bale? GtniMd are Lees Than Year’s by Half MlUion—Price p, " ’Ik. _ 4 ' ■ Leaps upon New York Markets— ' ■’ Census Bureau Reports on Volnine ■ j of Staple Brought In. A heavy decline in the condition of the growing cotton crop almost doubled the average decline of the last ten years during September, has decreased the production pros- n pects forecasted previously. The Department of Agriculture estimat ed the crop at 10,060,000, equiva- , lent 500 pound bales which would be the smallest crop since 1009. The second cotton ginning report of the season, compiled from reports of census bureau correspondents and agents throughout the cotton belt and issued at 10 a. m. Monday, announc ed that 2,000,007 bales of cotton, 1 counting round as half bales, of the growth of 1915, has been ginned , prior to September 25. \ This compared with 3,392,752 ,' bales, or 21.3 per cent, of the entire _ . crop, ginned prior to September 25 last year, 3,246,655 bales, or 23.2 per cent. In 1912 and 3,007,271 bales, or 22.3 per cent, in 1911. Included in the ginnings were 32,- 263 round bales, compared with 3,- 394 last year, 26,983 in 1913 and ^ 19,574 in 1912. Sea Island cotton included number- « ed 19,094 bales, compared with 13, 297 bales to September 26 last year, 10,570 bales In 1913, and 3,051 bales in 1912. Qinnlngs prior to September 25, by states, with comparisons for the last three years and the percentage of the entire crop ginned in those states prior to that date In the same years m follow: Alabama. Bales. PC. 1915 309,676 • • • 1914. 392,217 22.6 1913. .. . . 325,735 22.0 191? 182,210 14.5 1915 60,957 • • • 1914 99,347 9.9 1913 70,086 6 8 1912 41,428 Florida. 5.4 1915 19,000 • • • • 1914 25,679 28 2 1913 16,367 24.5 1912 9,770 Georgia* ’ 16 6 1915 715,927 • a 1914 768.095 28.2 1913 491,611 20.9 1912 272,325 16.0 1915 114,366 • • • e 1914 94.119 20 8 1913 77,865 17.8 1912 73.99 Mlaalaalppl. 19.7 1915 179,986 • • • • 1914 163,298 ■12.4 1913 .. .. .. 120,593 9.6 1912 57,393 North Carolina. 6.6 1915 82,918 • • • • 1914 '84,517 8.7 1913 49,952 6.0 1912 101,683 Oklahoma. 11.2 1915 2,130 • • • • 1914 104,154 8.4 1913 148,979 17.7 1912 77,394 Houth Carolina. 7.7 1915 259,070 • • • • 1914 303,794 19.5 1913 193,318 13.6 1912 174,251 Tennessee. 14.2 1915 9,143 • • • • 1914 16,032 4.2 1913 18,359 5.0 1912 990. Texas. 0.4 x 1915 1,143,486 • • • • 1914 1,334,342 30.4 1913 1.727,63,9 45.8 1912 All Other States. 43.1 1915 . . 3,362 . • •, 1914 8,258 6.0 1913 6,251 5.2 1912 U .. 2,740 3.0 The condition of cotton on Septem ber 25 and 60.8 per cent, of a nor mal, indicating a yield of 168 pounds per acre. Conditions and indicated acre yield by state follow: Acre, Condition Yield. Virginia 260 North Carolina .... . .70 248 South Carolina .... . .63 208 Georgia . . .' . .61 168 Florida r . r, ,■ , .42 112 Alabama 140 Alabama . . 57 140 Mississippi. r . . . . 180 Louisiana 159 Texas 145 Arkansas 176 Tennessee 202 Missouri ..72 288 Oklahoma , .63 176 California ..... .. . .95 499 AH other States .. . .— — Immediately after the govern- meat's crop report, Indicating 10,- #50,000 bales, the smallest since 1009, the New York cotton market <MWII IF V. S. TIAK OTEI IN ENWSI NOTE w uht is tir assumed Considerable activity and strength. Futures advanced more 91 per bale In a few minutes all prices were soon up from 58 to M points over Saturday's daring. The government’s figures were con siderably under previous private esti mates and canted a large buying movement.— In announcing the condi tion report and production estimate, the crop reporting board mad* this I Great Britain Answers She Is Attempting to Steal "Cream of World's Trade. Great Britain's answer to reports widely circulated in this country that she had been interfering with legiti mate trade of the United States with neutral European nations for the ben efit of her own exporters is given in a note handed to Ambassador Page at London by Sir Edward Grey, the for eign minister, and made public by the state department. ’ Data and figures are quoted at length to prove that where British export* and re-exports have Increased the growth of Similar trade from the United States has been many times as large, while In many cases there have been vast increases of American exports from, the United Kingdom. The note, which is in response to the British ambassador’s report of a reference at the state department to the unfavorable impression created In Washington by reports of increases in British trade with northern Euro pean countries since the war began, suggests also thgt statements con cerning Great Britain’s policy have been inspired by German agents. August 13 Is the date of the docu ment, which was transmitted by mail Instead of by cable. THREE HOSTILE ARMIES PLAN TO ATTACK SERBU Premier Denounce* Her "Uu- ThinkaMe Treachery to Hlaric Cause—Must Act or Disarm. Sergius Sazonoff, Russian minister of foreign affairs, declared to the Associated Press correspondent last week that If tbs Bulgarians persist in their present traitorous course they must answer to Russia. "The situation In tbe Balkans is very grave. The whole nation Is aroused by the unthinkable treach ery of Ferdinand and his government to the Slavic canse. Bulgaria owes her independence to Russia and yet seems willing now to become a vas sal of Russia's enemies. "In her attitude towards Servla, when Servla Is fighting for her very existence. Bulgaria puts herself in a class with Turkey. We do not be lieve that the Bulgarian people sym pathize with the action of their rul er. Therefore, the Allies are dispos ed to give them time for reflection.’’ statement: , "The cotton crop condition declin ed 8.4 points during the month August 25 to September 25, which compared with an average decline in the same period in the past ten years of 4.5 points. The estimated condi tion of 60.8 per cent, of normal on September 25 forecasts a yield per acre of about 168 pounds and a total production—allowing a reduction of one per cent, from planted area for abandonment—of about 10,950,000 bales. Last year's production of 16,- 135,000 bales and the 1913 crop 14,- 156,0110. A crop less'than 11,000,- 000 bales would be smaller than any crop since 1909. "The unusual deterioration has been due principally to the extreme of weather conditions; periods of ex cessive rainfall, cold weather and drought having characterized the sea son in most of the cotton belt. Lack of fertilizer, and poor quality of that used, has been an unfavorable factor In the eastern portion of the belt. There Is little promise of a top crop except In the northern portions of the belt, due to the cllmatiiFconditions and the usual activity of the boll weevil; and where a top crop is set ting in the northern portions of the belt, the latest report of the crop there makes realization dependent upon future weather and late frost. “The month, much of it warm and dry, has been generally favorable to picking and a much larger percentage of the crop Is ginned to this date than in the usual year. In much of the southern portion of the belt ginning 1? far advanced and In some sections there, picking is practically com pleted." Caari Shut up Tight. Additional earth slides. It was an nounced at Washington Monday, win eaose the Panama canal to be closed until the first of November. RUSS ELTUATIJI TO HIUARU E9 AT TW6 MONDAY FUSENT EVIDENCE T9 SMW rERSEOmw Of ARMENIANS Facta Brought to Light by Coouafttoe Who Dououace Wont Horror of One Thousand * Yean. BREAM MENACE EN6LAND PIS TORE AUTO PROTECT HER COMMERCE NO DEFINATE ACTS YET S CONFIRM EARLY STORIES York by the committee formed by Charles R. Crane, Cleveland H. Dodge end others to investigate the facts of the Armenian massacres and to aid sufferers. The committee states that the evi dence was collected from sources.that French Troops Land in Greece, Who Seize Macedonian Railways—Bul garia Denounces Allied Misstate- London Says Germans, Austrians and Bulgarians are Massed for Simultaneous Assault. Three great armies—German. Aus trian and Bulgarian—are closing in on Serbia ready for a combined and simultaneous smash and drive through the Balkans to Constanti nople. West lies the reinforced Austrian army, north are gathered the Ger man forces said to comprise eight army corps. Southeast the Bulgarian legions are assembling two hundred and eighty thousand strong. More than one million men will be Involv ed In the supreme effort to crush the little kingdom of Serbia. All three await the signal for the Invasion of Serbia, and that signal, according to dispatches received from Nish, will be received within two weeks. The massing of the three armies for the attack was discovered by Anglo-French aviators who have been sent as one contingent of tbe armed relief which the allies are sending to Serbia In her extremity. Great masses of Germans wsrs seen between the Save and the Drlna and others, regiment after regiment, were spied pouring Into tbe Hun garian district at Banah. SAZONOFF SAYS BIL6ARIA MUST ANSWER TO RUSSIA merits—Germans and* Austrians Mass Troops to Cut Way to Turkey. Petrograd reports Monday: Unless Bulgaria has conceded fully the de mands of Russia concerning thp breaking off of relations with the central powers by two o’clock Mon day afternoon the Russian minister at Sofia and his staff will depart. However As Russia draws a dictinc- tlon between the Bulgarian govern ment and the Bulgarian people, no repressive measures will be adopted against Bulgarian subjects In Russia. Sofia reports Monday a formal de nial that German officers have taken control of the military affairs of Bul garia and that Germany is supplying that country with funds are contain ed In an official statement Issued through the Bulgarian news agency. The next of the statement follows: "In view of erroneous and frankly mendacious statements circulated In the foreign press regarding the situ ation in Bulgaria, we are authorized to deny in the most formal manner all these rumors: First, concerning the arrival in Sofia of German offi cers who are alleged to be taking a hand in the administration of rail roads or the command of the army; second, concerning alleged statements of Premier Radoslavoff that as long as the war lasts Bulgaria will receive regularly from Germany fifty.million francs—ten million dollars—month ly; third, concerning numerous ar rests which are said to have been caused by internal disturbances. a, As to the assertions of certain newspapers that the Radoslavoff cab inet will not be qualified to direct the destinies of Bulgaria because U will not have a majority we must observe that in a parliamentary country which Bulgaria, undoubtedly is, tbe government which Is said not to have supported the premier with a suffi cient majority In the Sabronje would not be able to remain In power." Petrograd reports that even *M. Madjarlow, Bulgarian minister, will not be expelled. His passports will not be given to him and he will be permitted to remain undisturbed, al though no official relations will be maintained with him as the repre sentative of King Ferdinand. The foreign office explains that the fact that Russia aloae sent an ultimatum to Bulgaria was due to voluntary recognition on the part of her allies of this nation's predomi nance In the Brikans and of her moral claim upon the gratitude of the Balkan peoples. Whether England, France and Italy will withdraw their repi esent^- ttves at Sofia in case Russia takes this position has not yet been de cided. Russia felt compelled to make this move. In view of the fail ure of all effort to bring pressure through other means on King Ferdi nand. It is the view of the Russian government that the recall of Its min ister would convince* the Bulgarian people that King Ferdinands policy is dangerous. Athens. Greece, reports Monday: All doubt as to the entrance of Greece in the war on the side of the Entente allies has nqw been disposed of. The official organ of the gov ernment •says that tho landing of French troops at Salon ik I la for the purpose of assisting Greece.. In regard to the landing of the French troops, the governmental or gan says that If for the present the government considers the assistance of the Allies as premature it is none the less to aid and support Greece that the Allies at Salonikl. France and England enter the Balkans as traditional friends of Greece and not otherwise. The Greek government has seized the -Macedonia railroads, of which two are Austrian and one French. Rome reports that a telegram from Athens to the Trlbuna says that Gen eral Sir Ian Hamilton, British com mander at the Dardanelles, has been at Salonikl to Inspect arrangements made for the landing of troops. Paris, Monday: Concentration of the Bulgarian army has begun, a§- cordlng to a dispatch from Athens to the Havas News agency. The corre spondent asserts he has authoritative information to this effect. The total effectives of the Bulgarian army en gaged in this movement are estimat ed at three hundred and fifty thou sand. Bucharest reports: Two hundred and fifty thousand Austro-German troops with two thousand guns most ly withdrawn from the eastern front already have arrived on the Aus trian frontier and preparations for an attack being hurried forward under the direct supervision of Field Mar shal von Mackensen, who has estab lished his headquarters at Versecz, says the correspondent of the EpoCa. Milan, Italy, reports: While R'ou- manla keeps one hundred thousand troops on the Austro-Hungarian fron tier, says a Bucharest dispatch to the Corrlere Della Sera, the Germans have withdrawn the infantry massed along the southwestern slopes of the Carpathians %ut have left a strong force of artillery. On thp other hand, in the region between Kronstadt, Transylvania and Hermenstadt, north Roumanla frontier, there Is a con stant coming and going of German officers.* According to reliable, although un confirmed information, one hundred thousand German troop* have been moved from Bukowina to the Serbian frontier and there are now several hundred thonaaad nan stationed la are unquestioned as to the varacity and authority of the writers, but that for obvious reasons their names can not be given, and in most cases names of towns and cities must be concealed. Quotations are given In the com mittee's report from twenty-four sources, some of which describe In detail Instances where Armenians have been put to death, women vio lated and children slaughtered, of robbery, torture and death by star vation. and of terrible privations en dured in long marches to the desert regions to which the Armenians have been exiled—crimes described by the committee as surpassing "in their horror and cruelty anything that his tory has recorded during the past one thousand years.’’ CHEAT BRITAIN’S FH1UIES % FAIL TO CIAN6E 0FFICUIS Authorities Say New Note Does Not Alter the General Situation In Regard to Trade Matters. Great Britain’s attempt to Justify her own trade increases by citing fig ures showing that Americans also have benefltted in the Scandinavian markets is not going to have much weight with the administration. Officials at both the White House and state department made it very plain that the British note of August 18, made pnMlc at the request of the British foreign office. In no way changed the general situation. The note is accepted as a defense to tbe direct charge made by Consul General Skinner at London that the British government la trying to carry off the "cream" of the Scandinavian trade, leaving the "ektm milk" for the balance of her trade competitors. . The figures cited by tbe British government were tent to the depart ment of commerce to be compared and checked up. Until a report Is re ceived the department will not com ment on tbe note. NEWS OF “UTMOST IRAVITY” FROM RUUAR1A, SAYS (RAY Arrival of German and Austrian Ot to Direct Bulgurs Taken to Mean Early War. / Foreign Secretary Gray announced In London that German and Auetrlan officers were arriving In Bulgaria to direct the Bulgarian army. Tbe sec retory said this was a fact which tbe Allies regard "with tbe utmost grav ity.” The foreign secretary author ized the following statement: "Information has been received that German and Austrian officers have been for several day| arriving In Bulgaria with a view ip taking an active part In directing the Bulga rian army. This action Is precisely similar to that token In Turkey, where German officers forced Tur key to make an entirely unprovoked attack upon Russia laat year. "Since the allied powers are bound to support the states which are threatened by such proceedings in Bulgaria, this news is regarded as of tbe utmost gravity.” Hungary between Panscova, Weis- sklrchen and Verscse. Two-thirds of this army Is said to be composed of Germans. It is estimated that the artillery numbers twelve hundred guns between Panscova and Weis- skirchen alone. The greater part of these forces are neawly formed regi ments with the best troops from the Belgian front. These soldiers are in good condition. Most of the men are under thirty, the majority of the Ger mans being Bavarians. There is only one officer to each battery, most of the lower commands being entrusted to German non-commissioned offi cers. Field Marshal von Mackeusen is reported to have arrived at Temes- var, seventy-two miles northeast of Belgrade. Amsterdam reports: Protesting against Sir Edward Grey’s warning to Bulgaria that she would be held strictly accountable for aggressive ac tion against the Allies’ friends in the Balkans, the Hamburg Nachrichten professes not to understand the ex citement w-hich has been caused In the Entente nations. The paper declares Germany and Austria have no purpose except the temporary occupation of the Serbian bank of the Danube in order to as sure necessary supplies for Turkey since Roumanla refuses to permit the transit through Its territory of. such war material. . .- “If therefore Serbia Is prudent," the Nlchrlchten explains, “she will save blood and powder by withdraw ing her troops somewhat to the east as the goods destined for Turkey never will harm Serbia and mean while she will rectify the wrong she did to Bulgaria In the. summer of 1913." Accuse Bankers of Perjury. The president and vice-president of the Riggs National Bank, which in stituted the suit agqlnst Secretary McAdoo., have bean arrested on a charge of perjury and lava given Wed. New Methods of Defence and Offense Bender Waters Around British . Isles a Very Dangerous Place for Submarines to Operate — News Comes to Washington. Great Britain has discovered and put into effective operation means of combatting submarines which, ac cording to official reports to the United States government, already have resulted In a loss estimated at between fifty and seventy German submarines. The reports declare that the British admiralty confidently be lieves it has crushed the German un dersea campaign. New methods of offence and de fence that may revolutionize naval warfare hare been adopted and high British naval officers are of the opin ion that unless the effectiveness of the ■ submarines Is increased, it no longer will be a menace to commerce and battle fleets. The British censorship has pre vented the disclosure of details con cerning the developments. Within the last three weeks, however, confi dential reports to various govern ment departments from representa- tibes In European capitals of neutrals, as well as belligerent countries, have confirmed the Brttlfh admiralty re port that an effective means of deal ing with the submarine has been found. These reports are being closely scrutinized on account of the bearing they may have on the naval policy of the United States. They reaffirm of ficers of the navy In their conviction that the dreadnought still Is the mainstay in warfare’ on sea. According to the reports destruc tion or capture of fifty submartn actually had been reported several weeks ago. and It was regarded as possible' that the number might have reached seventy. A dinner was given recently In London, which, while not a formal state effelr, was attended by high government officials, in cel ebration of the destruction of tbe fif tieth underwater enemy. Reports of the dinner apparently were supp ed by the censor. While the greatest secrecy la thrown qround the means employed, the United States has Information concerning the principal methods. A submarine telephone has boon devel oped by which it is possible to detect tbe approach of a submarine from observation boats or stations planted off shore connected with points in the mainland. For capturing craft whoso pres ence has not boon detected or oven suspected the government’s report? describe how hogs nets have stretched across the channels and la open water near steamship lanes or In the vicinity of warshlpe, nets sus pended between floats have spread broadcast. Armed patrol boats watched and when tbs floats disappear beneath tho water, showing that a submarine has become entangled, tho patrols con gregate at the place, and whan tho victim comes to the surface, as it in evitably must to disentangle Itself, It is destroyed or captured. A spe cial type of mins also has boon de vised which has been very success ful. The German methods of supplying submarines with oil and provisions, either at sea or from concealed places along the coaats of the Britlah Isles, have been ferreted oat and dispelled. This compels the boats to return to their bases at more frequent Inter vals and leaves them only a com parattvely short time for effective duty. Destroyers, the reports declare, be come expert In the game of subma rine hunting, and armed trawlers also bav.e proved effective. But the greatest single factor, It la said, hks been a newly built fleet of small sea going motor boats, armed with one or two three-inch guns and possess ing high speed; These boats liter ally swarm over suspected expanses of the water, and cover almost every mile of the channels of commerce adjacent to Great Britain. As a submarine must rise fre quently to renew Its air supply and recharge the storage batteries by which it Is propelled when submerg ed, one in the territory covered by the scouts Is almost certain to be eventually seen and destroyed. These small boats have been built In large numbers in England, and it is re ported that about five hundred are being constructed in the United States and Canada to be shipped In sections to Great Britain. Petrograd say? the Russian minis ter has been ordered to leave Softs « unless within tweaty-fosr hours tke Bulgarian government openly breaks with Austria and Germany and sends away Austrian and Qenima officers . now In Bulgaria. vt A semi-official newt agency gives the following note the minister at Sofia has been ordered to hand tb Mr. ‘Radoslavoff, the Bulgarian premier: "The events which are taking place in Bulgaria at this moment give evi dence of a definite decision of King Ferdinand's government to place tbe fate of its country In the hands of Germany. - “The presence of German and Ane- trian officers at the ministry of war ' and on the staff of the army, the con centration of troops in the zone bor dering Serbia and the extensive fin ancial support accepted from our enemies by the Sofia cabinet no long er leave gny doubt as to the oblect of the military preparations of Bul garia. "The powers of the Entente, who have at heart the realisation of the aspirations qt' the Bulgarian people, have, on many oetaalona, warned M. Radoslavoff that any hostile act against Serbia would be considerod as directed against themselves. The assurances given by the head of the Bulgarian cabinet in reply to then* warnings are contradicted by the facts. "The representative of Russia, which is bound to Bulgaria by the Imperishable memory of her libera tion from tbe Turkiah yoke can not sanction by his presence preparations for fratricidal aggression against a Slav and allied people. The Russian minister therefore has received or ders to leave Bulgaria with all the staffs of the legation and consulates if the Bulgarian government does not within twentyfour hours openly' break with the enemies of the Slav cause and of Russia and does not at once proceed to send away officers belonging to armies of states which are at war with the powers of the Entente." U. S. IS NOT SATISFIED WITH LATEST MERMAN NOTE Germany has failed to satisfy the request of the United State? that the slaking of the Arabic with n tons of American lives be dlaavewed and lia bility for the ae« aesnnul hr the taw- pedal government. This became known after a con ference between and Secretary lanalng at secretary submitted a Satasday la New York by Const Bernstorff, the German amt No anaonacement was made after the White Hones conference. Secretary laaalng merely said that it was inadvisable to comment situation while negotiations < confidential. He declined to say tbs next move would be. bat It learned later tbe German dor would be asked to come to Wash ington to receive the view which the American government takes of the last German note. Count von Bamstorif is filly au thorized by bin government to con duct the submarine negotiations. Tbe negotiations are being conducted without publication of tho text? of the notes,' messages or memoranda passing between the two governments thus permitting frank discussion. FLAN JOINT REUNION Blue and Gray Will Gather in Wash- % - ington if Confeds Agree. If the plans of Col. Hilary A. Her bert, former secretary of the navy, are adopted Confederate and Union soldiers will meet in Washington In 1917 for a grand reunion and re view. The G. A. R. men in conven tion in Washington this week unani mously approved the plan and if the Confederates concur a reunion will be held In Washington that will sur pass the fiftieth anniversary of Get tysburg held two years ago when thousands of veterans on both sides met and discussed the great battle. Entombed for Six Days. Six miners were rescued from the shaft of n caved in min# at Lunsford, Pi., Sunday pad after examination Monday wore la good shape la spite of their Mx days satombmoat. HAVE IMPORTANT POSTS Take South Carolina Front Rank on South Carolina will taka a more commanding position In the coming session of congress than any other time since the War Between the Sec tions, unless the present plans for committee asaignments go wrong. Congressman Whaley Is slated for n place on the powerful judiciary com mittee and Mr. Byrnes may be given n place on the appropriation commit tee to succeed Former Congressman Joe Johnson. Congressman Aiken, It Is said, is being groomed for an im portant chairmanship and Congress man Nicholls, tbe new member from the state, will he well taken care' of. Mr. Lqver is already chairman of the agricultural committee and Mr. Fin ley ranks second on post offices and post roads. HOPES FOR PEACE Bulgaria Says She Intends to Threat en None of Her Neighbors. Bulgaria is threatening none of her neighbors and still hopes for a pact- (Is settlement which "will taka her. Interests to account." says a semi official statement issued Friday at Sofia and sent to Reuters. The statement was issued because of the attitude taken by the French and Russian press. It declared Bul garia mobilized to face a new,situa tion and assnre her national exist ence as well as her future. lb Bend Bulgaria Joint Notoi Rome, Italy, says the Impression 1a that the Quadruple Entente win soon present n Joint not* to Bulgaria | lag for an explanation of her Preach Avii A squadron of anroplnasn attacked the tioa at Voallotu. throe hundrod hi -