McCormick messenger. (McCormick, S.C.) 1902-current, December 28, 1939, Image 6
McCormick messenger. McCormick, s. c.. Thursday. December 28.1939
Unde Sam Prepares to Count His
Children—and How His Family
Grown Since First Census
By ELMO SCOTT WATSON
(Released by Western Newspaper Union.)
T HE coming of a new
year means a big job for
Uncle Sam. For 1940 is
“census year” and it means
that once more he is faced
with the task of counting all
his children.
And how his family has
grown since he took the first
census of its members 150
years ago! Then there were
only 3,929,214 of them. This
year it is estimated that there
will be more than 132,000,000.
The first census, taken in 1790,
covered only population. The
count was made within a year
from the date of the inauguration
of President Washington, and the
assembling of the first congress
of the United States. The enu
merators took the name of the
head of each family, together
with the total number of persons
in the family, classified as free
or slave. The count began on
the first Monday in August, 1790,
and the law gave nine months
for the completion of the work.
Double this time elapsed, how
ever, before all the returns were
in. Communication then was
slow and uncertain. The Amer
icans of that day, particularly in
the rural districts, regarded the
census enumerators with some
suspicion, and there were those
who thought these agents of the
federal government really aimed
at getting information on which
to base an increase of taxes.
The report of the first census is
contained in an octavo volume of
56 pages. Discolored and crum
bling with age, this little book is
very rare. The census bureau
has two of the few copies in ex
istence, and the Library of Con
gress one.
Adams’ Prophecy.
Four years before the first cen
sus was taken, John Adams, des
tined to become the second Pres
ident of the United States, had
a vision of the potentialities of
America which led him to pre
dict that the population of the
United States would some time
exceed 20,000,000. At that time
such a prophecy seemed little
more than a wild flight of the
imagination and was branded as
utterly ridiculous.
Writing from London, where he
was minister to the Court of St.
James, he said, “It has ever been
my hobby horse to see rising in
America an empire of liberty,
and a prospect of 200,000,000 or
300,000,000 of freemen without one
noble or king among them.”
It was John Tyler, tenth Presi
dent of the United States, blessed
with a similar vision, who made
a similar prophecy, though not so
extravagant as Adams’ but at the
same time doubtful of fulfillment,
and missed his guess by only a
few years and a relatively small
number of millions of population.
In a letter addressed to Col. Sam
uel Gardiner of Shelter island,
whose son married Tyler’s
daughter, and dated from the ex-
President’s country seat, Sher
wood Forest, Va., November 26,
1850, Tyler said, “In a little
more than half a century, a peo
ple who were regarded as little
better than a host of murderers
or sojourners among savage
tribes have attained position
among the first civilized powers.
“With a spirit of adventure
heretofore unequaled by anything
which has occurred on the map
of the world, there is united a
deep plodding sagacity which
crowns the most daring enter
prises with success. Such a peo
ple, even had they attained that
which is denominated a station
ary condition in regard to popu
lation, would not fail to attract
great and absorbing attention.
But, when the reverse is the fact,
when our population is known
to double in every period of twen
ty-five years, when having now
a population of 25,000,000 that
number, before the child now in
the nurse’s arms attains matu
rity, is destined to reach nearly
50,000,000, and before that same
child shall have passed the
boundaries of middle age, to 100,-
000,000.”
How Right Were They?
Now that Uncle Sam is prepar
ing again to count his children,
it is interesting to check up on
the predictions of these two Pres
idents and see just how nearly
right they were. Although Ty
ler’s prophecy was a bit too op
timistic, he was not far wrong.
At the time his letter was writ
ten the population of the country
was 23,260,638. He predicted that
it would double in the next 25
years and although there are no
figures available for 1875, by 1880
it had reached 50,262,382.
It had not reached the 100,000,-
000 mark by 1900, as his predic
tion suggested, for Uncle Sam’s
children then numbered 76,129,-
408, and it was not until 20 years
later that it reached the mark of
105,710,620. Even though the
“doubling” process which he
prophesied did not continue con
sistently, there did take place the
amazing growth in the nation of
50,000,000 people in half a century,
or an increase in population of 200
per cent.
So Tyler’s prophecy was not so
extravagant as it must have
seemed at the time. And when
there is taken into consideration
the steady increase during the 153
years since John Adams made
Xv
Miss Mildred Keaton has one
of the toughest assignments in
taking the census. She “covers”
the Arctic coast from Point Bar-
row east to the Alaskan-Canadian
line, the route over which she
“mushes” to treat ailing natives
as a field nurse for the Office of
Indian Affairs.
known his vision, even his esti
mate does not now seem so fan
tastic.
The 1930 census gave a total of
122,775,046 people under the Stars
and Stripes. On June 27, 1936,
the population was estimated at
128,403,000, an increase of 5,627,-
954 in six years or nearly 938,000
a year. The census bureau’s last
preliminary estimate of the na
tion’s population, as of July 1,
1938, was 130,215,000, an increase
of 1,812,000 in the two years since
the estimate of 1936. That meant
approximately 906,000 each year.
200,000,000 in 2000 A. D.?
Even though the increase
seems to be growing smaller,
there is still a large enough gain
each year to justify the predic
tion that John Adams’ estimate
of 200,000,000 may eventually be
reached. On the basis of the in
crease since 1930, it will take
nearly 70 years and we will prob
ably reach the year 2000 A. D.
before we reach a population of
200,000,000 in the U. S. A.!
Officials of the census bureau
regard the 1940 census as prob
ably the most important and far-
reaching since that first one 150
years ago. For this one will be
much more than a mere counting
of noses. As in past years, the
census will cover population, oc
cupations, irrigation, drainage,
manufactures, business, mines
and quarries, vital statistics, cot
ton production and consumption,
and financial statistics of states
and cities. In addition, the census
takers will also assemble data
never sought before and these
data will bear upon the new so
cial and economic situations
which have arisen in the last few
years, bringing with them prob
lems that are yet unsolved.
For this census will also be con
cerned with such questions as un
employment, migrations from
one state to another and addition
al vital statistics bearing on pub
lic health and facilities for treat
ment of disease. Much of the
health data may prove to have a
decided bearing upon the vital
problem of national defense. For
instance, the census authorities
hope to learn how many men
would be incapacitated for mili<
tary service by disease.
Problem of Migration.
The problem of migration is
one to which President Roosevelt
submitted a report to congress,
setting forth that population shifts
from state to state were not of
concern only to the one state into
which the great influx had taken
place (California being the out
standing example) but that they
affected the whole nation. Mi
gration from state to state is a
new social movement in the Unit
ed States directly traceable to
unemployment.
In addition to asking his chil
dren the usual questions about
age, sex, color, marital status,
homes and education, Uncle Sam
will also want to know about their
present economic condition, their
profession or occupation and
whether they are employed or un
employed. Each person will also
be asked where he lived 10 years
ago so that some measure of mi
gration may be obtained.
The most significant data, how
ever, in the opinion of the census
authorities, will be the figures
indicating the trend of population
growth, which has been steadily
declining, and the distribution,
according to age groups. A con
tinuing decline in population will
have a decided bearing on the
future economic and social life
of the nation.
A smaller population foreshad
ows a reduction in future markets
at home and abroad. Fewer pu
pils in the public schools will in
dicate a lesser need for school-
houses and other plant equip’ment
and a greater surplus of teach
ers. An increase in the higher
age groups will have important
economic effects, in the form of a
more persistent demand by the
higher age groups for a redistri
bution of the profits of industry,
such as the various old age pen
sion schemes that have caused
so much disturbance in the last
few years. That, combined with
a decrease in the lower age
groups will mean lower incomes
for the younger Americans.
The job of securing all this in
formation will require the serv
ices of approximately 150,000 per
sons, of whom 8,000 will be em
ployed in Washington compiling
the data gathered by the 142,000
enumerators in the field. The cost
of this task is estimated at $20.
000,000.
History tells us that the first
census ever made ,.as taken by
Moses.
“Take ye the sum of all the
congregation of the children of
Israel, after their families, by
the house of their fathers, with
the number of their names every
male by their polls; from twenty
years old and upward, all that
are able to go forth to war in
Israel.”
Thus spoke the Lord to Moses,
and Moses, with Aaron’s assist
ance, collected the figures for the
first census report, which may be
found in practically every home
and hotel room. It is appropri
ately entitled “Numbers,” the
fourth book of the Bible.
By its breadth of scope the cen
sus William of Normandy ordered
for his new kingdom of England,
resembles modern surveys. He
commanded his people in 1085 A.
'D. to record every lord and peas
ant, every acre, every ox, every
mill, every manor, every weir
and every plow the value there
of and—this is forward looking—
the natural resources, woods,
fields and streams capable of de
velopment and revenue. The re
port to William the Conqueror be
came the Domesday Book, un
readable today except by schol
ars, yet protected in the public
record office at London as one of
the most precious possessions of
England.
Uncle Sam was one of the pio
neers in this business of counting
his children scientifically. Swe
den took the lead before our first
census in 1790, but England,
France, and Prussia did not see
the necessity of regular counting
of noses until 10 or 20 years later.
Russia took no census until 1897.
The first American census, tak
en in 1790, was very limited in
scope and was directed by the
United States marshals. They
were allowed 13 months for the
job, and when the totals were
added up our population was less
than 4,000,000.
That census related solely to
population. The name of the head
of the family was taken, together
with the number of persons in
each family, classified as free or
slave. The whites, who were
free, were classified as “free
whites,” as male or female, and
the free whites males as over or
under 16 years of age. That was
about all there was to it. The
marshals who supervised the 1790
count numbered only 17 and the
enumerators 650. The cost was
$44,000.
The deeply religious settlers of
America nearly upset our first
census when they harked back to
another less fortunate Bible cen-
tm
Taking information from a
census schedule by means of a
card puncher. Facts are trans
lated into figures on this ma
chine.
sus. “Satan stood up against Is
rael,” they pointed out to the mar
shals, “and provoked David to
number Israel from Beersheba
even to Dan.” What happened?
“God was displeased; therefore
he smote Israel. The Lord sent
pestilence upon Israel; and there
fell of Israel 70,000 men.”
Fears that our first census
would bring similar destruction
upon the nation did not materi
alize, so the marshals delivered
their reports to President Wash
ington within nine months for all
the original states, except Ver
mont, Rhode Island and South
Carolina. Vermont and Rhode Is
land entered the Union later. The
marshal of South Carolina found
workers scarce at $1 per 150
heads counted.
With the exception of a compar
atively few, when the vast total
is considered, the original records
of every family enumerated in
the 1790 and subsequent census
are on file in the census bureau.
The missing records have been
lost or destroyed by accident.
However, the file on John Han
cock has been preserved and his
family was reported as being
made up of “two white males
over sixteen years of age, three
white females and seven other
free persons, not white.”
In the taking of the 1860 cen
sus, each person was for the first
time asked to give the value of
his or her real and personal prop
erty. The records for Illinois
show that Abraham Lincoln’s
family comprised Mr. Lincoln, his
wife, his three sons and a boy,
fourteen years old, named Philip
Dinkell. Mr. Lincoln said he was
worth $17,000 of which $5,000 was
the value of his real estate, the
remainder being personal proper
ty. In the same census James
Buchanan listed his household as
consisting of himself, his niece.
Miss Harriet Lane, and 11 em
ployees and servants, all of the
latter being of foreign birth.
The system of individual enu
meration was adopted at the cen
sus of 1850, and at the same time
a number of new classifications
were added—illiteracy, school at
tendance, occupation, place of
birth, ajse, etc.
ATTERN h |
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAJi
BARTH ENT
and supple at the waist. Mate
rials like faille, moire, flat crepe
and velveteen are excellent
choices for this.
If you’ve done scarcely any sew
ing, this design is heartily recom
mended as a good one to begin on,
because it’s so easy. A step-by T
step sew chart is included to help
you.
Pattern No. 8576 is designed for
sizes 12, 14, 16, 18, 20, and 40. Size
14 requires 4% yards of 39-inch
material without nap; % yard con
trasting for each collar and cuffs.
% yard ribbon.
For a pattern of this attractive
model send 15 cents in coins, your
name, address, style, number and
size to The Sewing Circle Pattern
Dept., Room 1324, 211 W. Wacker
Dr., Chicago, 111.
Strange Facts
I
*BlacJt-Out y Lights
Street Car Diners
Immortal Trees
\/I AKE yourself this pretty prin-
cess (8576) for town wear,
business and general runabout, in
a dark shade or your favorite
bright color. The double collar
and cuffs give you a chance to
work out daring and delightful
contrasts, in a season when ad
venturous color combinations are
so extremely smart. And you can
trust this dress to make your fig
ure look slim and youthful, small
For “black-outs” during air
raids, England has perfected high
way and traffic lights, headlights
and police uniforms that can be
seen only by those on the ground.
Geneva, Switzerland, has street
cars whose entire space is given
over to restaurants in which the
passengers eat and drink as they
travel through the city.
» =5^5=
Many navies now use a torpedo
that appears to be aimed at a point
far ahead or far behind its target
but, after going some distance,
suddenly makes a right or left
swing and strikes before its ob
jective can turn away.
A study of marital tendencies
reveals that a much larger num
ber of widowed and divorced men
marry spinsters than widowed and
divorced women marry bachelors.
The giant redwood trees in Cali
fornia and Oregon have never
been known to die a natural death.
—Collier’s.
ASK ME
ANOTHER
A Quiz With Answers
Offering Information
on Various Subjects
The Questions
1. Can you write 600 in Roman
numerals?
2. Is the income of the Presi
dent taxable?
3. Who cut the Gordian Knot?
4. Which of our wars was known
as Mr. Madison’s war?
5. Which is the middle verse of
the Bible?
6. Which woman has had more
statues erected to her memory
than any other woman?
7. Which race is increasing its
population the fastest?
8. Do plants grow more at night
than during the day?
9. Which is the correct quota
tion: “Far from the maddening
crowd,” or “Far from the mad
ding crowd”?
10. What per cent of the world’s
population is still governed by
monarchs?
The Answers
1. DC.
2. His salary as President is not.
Any other income he may have,
is.
3. Alexander the Great.
4. The War of 1812.
5. The eighth verse of the 118th
Psalm.
6. Joan of Arc.
7. The white races of the world
are doubling their populations ev
ery 80 years, the yellow and brown
races every 60 years and the black
races every 40 years.
8. Although trees and other
green plants require light to devel
op, virtually all of their growth
takes place at night. Those in
dark or shaded places grow faster
than those exposed to brighter
light.
9. “Far from the madding
crowd,” from Gray’s Elegy.
10. Despite the widespread change
in the governments since the
World war, eight hundred million
persons, or 40 per cent of the en
tire population of the globe, still
are governed by kings, queens,
emperors and other monarchs.
\
35* per bottfe^J
^ientholatedj^Creosoted^
Consenting to 111
All is distress and misery when
we act against our nature and
consent to ill.—Sophocles.
A GREAT BARGAIN
VESPER TEA
PURE GRANGE PEKOE
50 Cups for lO Cents
Ask Your Grocer
r
Use Limitations
One’s limitations are also his
opportunities.
f f
000 s
LIQUID-TABLETS */
SALVE-NOSE DROPS’ • •
fire Women Better O
Shoppers than Men ■
GRANTING a woman’s reputation for wise buying, let s trace the
methods by which she has earned it. Where does she find out about
the advantages and details of electrical refrigeration? What tells her
how to keep the whole household clean — rugs, floors, bathroom
tiling — and have energy left over for golf and parties? How does
she learn about new and delicious entrees and desserts that surprise
and delight her family? Where does she discover those subtleties
of dress and make-up that a man appreciates but never understands?
Why, she reads the advertisements. She is a consistent, thought
ful reader of advertisements, because she has found that she can
believe them —and profit thereby. Overlooking the advertisements
would be depriving herself of data continuously useful in her job
of Purchasing Agent to the Family.
For that matter, watch a wise man buy a car or a suit or an insur
ance policy. Not a bad shopper himself! He reads advertisements,too!