Lancaster enterprise. [volume] (Lancaster, S.C.) 1891-1905, September 15, 1897, Page 2, Image 2
MEXICO AND SILVER.
THE FACTS STATED AM)THE
CESE ANALYZED.
Tlii' Fnll of NIItit Will I
Ij Stimulate BIoiiip .11 nun fuel ur cra,
mi?l Li-iiil to u I'.\jmu?ioii
of Tro|?icnl Agria-iiHur**, tli?>
I'roiluel* of Wliirli Commit iitl
Cold AI?poml?Cliou|? Sllrrp
t.ooil for All ('liisii'N Itut 9m|?ort?*r*.
Prom :!?' AinorU-.wi.
iNews (li<j)atc!ios from the City
v>l Mexico tell 11::;t il !- lie
liovo'l I?y 11m' Moxierns tli-it tin*
fall in tlie* j:<?1 \ price of silver, or.
as it appears to them, the' !'itr
ther ri<e ' ? the ]?ri of aohl.
will 5: *;;iv : - -lv tii<:n 1* ? home
nanuiV.ct urnrr, :mtl ]**:? ! also to
: r;iJ : ! expat -ion <>! tropical
ricultore, the proluet ol which
command y >M prices obroad."
"\Ve arc further informed thai the
Mexican only ivjirets the recent
fall in silver because they tear it
will revive tl > talk of adopting
j;ohl standard, which wouhl he
ruinous to the new manufacturing
industries." I pon all ol
which t!i ? New York Times makes
the charitable comment that the
Mexicans must have ^one daft.
It is sad nonsense to suppose
that a fall in silver could stiinu
late manufacturinjj ii. silver usine
countries and exports to uoldusini!,
remarks the Times, and
further adds that it is hard to see
how any considerable number of
successful business men in Mexico
should harbor any such views.
Yet they do harbor such views,
and thev base them nnt nn
theory, hut have gathered tliein
from experience. And against
such experience we fancy the
manufacturers and planters of
Alexico would wei rh the opinion
of the Times very lightly, especi
ally when it asserts that they
would find properity in a steady
appreciation of silver, that is to
say, that they would profit from
falling prices. However, the Times
gives its own case away, and all
unconsciously tells us why it is
that a fall in silver in our markets,
or a rise in the premium on gold
in Mexico, acts as a stimulus to
inanulaeturing enterprise in that
country. -An importer who
knows just what he has to pay for
his goods in gold and what he
.' !i 11 irol Iai' f ? ?? . 1 .. ~ - M
i\/? i iiviii mi mi vci < re
marks the limes. -ran make his
calculations accordingly. It is tIn*
relalivelv sudden changes that
contuse hi^ calculation-, makes
.his ventures risky and discourage
enterprise." Ih;t whose venture>
do siudi changes make ri-ky.
whose enterprise do they discour
tire' The Mexican inanulact urer's'
\\ by. no, the imports r's, and it
the business of importation i-?lieonrafree
1 antlan increased market
thus made lor Mexican inanufae
turetl goods, manufacturing enter
pri.-e inu.-t he encouraged. This is
obvious frotn the Times' presen
tat ion ot its own case.
lint it is further evident that
all sudden changes in the price ??t
silver and of the rate of exchange
on gold using countries will not
discourage importat ions from gold
using countries into Mexico. A
sudden rise in the gold price of
silver and a consequent fall in
the rate exchange must lessen the
vost of goods imported from goldusing
countries. The Mexican importer
will, under such conditions,
get his goods for less than anticipated,
his profits will he greater,
and, obviously, importing enterprise
will bo encouraged and
manufacturing enterprise discouraged.
Obviously it is only
sudden changes in the gold price
of silver in one direction, and
that direction afallingone, that
make the ventures of the Mex|
iean importer risky and discourage
his enterprise. A fall in the
, gohl price of silver means a rise
in the rate of exchange on gold
j using countries, a rise in the pre |
inium that must be paid for the'
! gohl bill for remittance in pnv
* i
men) for goods bough) from gold
'standard countries, and the high-'
^ i
or this premium the greater mils!
be the ifvcrcost of I he imported
goods. Vnd it this premium rises
suddenly, tlie Mexican importer
will find himself called upon toj
pay more for his import ations'
t11<*ui lie anticipated ami ins j roiits1
will be undermined.
It i- thus that a tendency ofj
' silver to fall as we measure it, and j
for ireld to rise as the Mexican!
measures i!, makes the ventures |
ot tlie Mexican importer risky and
discourages his enterprise. A ri>e
' ....
in the gold price ot silver and.in
verselv, a fall in the silver price
of gold must make the ventures
of the importer not more risky
luit more certain, for instead of
being treated to the disagreeable
surprise of having to pay more
for his goods than he calculated
upon, he will he treated to the
lever agreeable surprise of getting
i his goods lor less money than he
anticipated. Whether silver rise
or fall his calculations will mis!
carry, but if silver rise, the miscarriage
of his calculations will be
welcome. So it is that a fall in
silver in the I'nited States, or
' !i rivjf? i n tl... nrnh.i..... .... l.t I..
. .. V |'i Vilillllll \/ll ^,UMI III
: Mexico?for it must be remember
oil that silver does not fall in Mexico
any more than gold tails in
the Tinted States, for the reason
that silver measures itself in
Mexico as gold measures itself in
t ho I'nited States?must ever discourage
importations into Mexico
'and encourage domestic manufacturing.
A fall in tin- premium
on gold must encourage importa
tions and discourage manufacturing.
So it is that the Mexicans,
who are not at all averse to see
1 il I .. r I i
nit- ii}i ijiiiiuini: oi manuiaci uring
industries and their growing in
dustrial indcpendenre of foreign
lands, dread the adoption of the
gold standard for Mexico and the
disappearaneo of the premium on
-old.
And Mexico is not the only
country that has heen thus affect
e l. All silver countries have heen
equally allectod. And in the mean
while .Japan lias heen put in the
way of reaping sonm ot the fruits
of her folly in throwing over the
silver standard, under which she
pro-pored, and adopting the gold
standard under which the indus
try and enterprise ot the western
nations have stagnated. .Japan
did not, indeed, throw aside the
advantage conferred on her industries
by 111?* premium on gold
when she adopted the gold stand
ard. She sought to keep thut pre
mium by cutting her gold coins
in half, and in this way stabilized
the premium on gold, as measured
by her old currency at about 10b
percent. In short, she tied her
sell down to the gold standard,but J
in a way that her producers would
receive about 209 yen thereafter
for every #100 worth of goods'
!
sold in America of other gol
using countries.
Originally the yen was pract
cally equivalent to our dollar,hi
in adopting tho gold standard Jj
pan made her new unit of vain
equivalent to soniethingtless tha
the then value of the Mexica
dollar. Tho Mexican dollar wti
then worth about IS cents in goh
and tho .lapanese enjoyed tli
same bounty on exports to gol
using countries as their neighboi
?the Chinese. Hut tie4 Mexica
dollar has since fallen to-!." cent
and tlie rate of exchange on gol
using count l ies in China has rise
to about 22.". or a premium of 12
percent. Now it happens th;
with ihi-> change in external trad
relation!' then' has come littl
change in domestic trade. Thet
has come no gen r d rise in priet
of domestic productions, no a<
vance in wages, no increase i
the cost of production. Vet IV
products selling for $100 in goh
in gold using countries. (lie n
turn in diver dollars lias been ii
creased to $225, where a te
weeks ago it was not $209. ?
the export trade from China inu
he encouraged at the expense (
the Japanese, whose return f<
goods sold in gold using eountrii
has not heeit increased by the r<
cent fall in silver.
< )n the other hand, the cost
the Chinaman of every .fit
I worth of goods bought from go
using countries has been inereast
from $200 to $255, or by aboi
eight per cent. In other word
the last tall in silver has bei
equivalent to the raising of
I customs tariil'of eight per con
and must exert the same stimuli
to domestic manufacturing
China as such raising of a custon
tariff, a customs tariff that con
not be gotten around by undo
valuations, would exert. Tli
stimulus has not been shared
by Japan.
Hut the most serious elFect 1
Japan of this recent fall in si 1 vc
and raising of the gold promiu
iu China to 12." percent., whi
her own premium has reniaim
fixed at 10!)., must ho felt in It
trade with China. Japan has bet
building ii]> with China a eonsii
erable export trade in cottc
yarns. Her manufaeturer> ha\
been on e?jual footing with tho:
of Shanghai. Hut now comes tli
further building up of the g<?
premium in which Japan has n<
shared. This premium must rah
the cost to the Chinamen of van
bought in Japan by s per con
unless, indeed. the Japanese, i
order to l.ol.l hi- market, rediie<
11i< ^?*11;n_r price, and sees lit 1
selllor 'dd yen what lie former!
asked inn for. So the Japanof
inanufaelurer finds himself und<
a severe handicap in eoinpetiii
for the markets of China. II
linds what i> virtually a custon
tarill' of s per cent reared u
against his jroods.
We have said that the Mex
cans believe that the recent >ilvi
decline in London an 1 New Vor!
and per se, the rise in the pn
iniii 111 on gold, will immense!
stimulate their home manufacti
ring. Now again we ask, wh;
The simple reason is that the coi
of everything bought abroad h;i
been enhanced. A few sho
weeks ago the Mexican silver do
lar was worth 48 cents in goh
Then it cost tho Mexican in
porter to pay for a bill (
d $100 of goods bought in Now 1
York. To-day (ho Mexican doli
lar is worth but 45 cents in gold, |
it and a draft to settle a bill of $100 i
i- of goods in New York costs the
le Mexican importer $222.22. What .
n the result of such changed
n conditions must be is obvious.
is The Mexican importer must raise
1, the prices asked tor imported '
e goods, and this must offer an op
Opportunity to the Mexican tnanu- {
> I act u re r. The price at whicli he <
n j must se\l to meet foreign compe- 1
s.; t i t ion is raised, consequent lv lie!'
d liuds it easier to compete, he finds <
n a readier and more prolitable J 5
| market, ho prospers and nianu
it ' fact wring is stimulated.
ie' Hut, says our gold mmiometal 1
lc list, does not the cost of nianu
e fact wring rise with tlie fall ill sil
;s: ver, do not wages rise as silver
1 ; tails? The answer is, they do not.
n The gold price of silver has fall
>r|en <"> per con' within a few week*.
1,; but we would be niiicb surprised
a-' if wages bad ri*en bv anvtliing '
I ' 11
i like <i per cent. We very much
w doubt if the wages paid by the
>oJ Mexican manufacturers today j
st j are any high r than those paid
r>f j six or eight weeks ago. Here is a
>r' statement very imndi to the liking
eg j of our gold monoinetallist. "Ah"!
[j. lit' says' -if silver lias fallen and
I wanes have not risen tin' wa^c-1
to i earner must lie injured, thej
)0' striking prosperity of the tnanu ;
Id I faeturer is made at the expense of
.(1 his hands." lint not so at all. The;
ut wage-earner lives on goods of do
Is, mestic production, he is not a
>11 large consumer of foreign goods,
a and it is the price of these latter
that has alone been affected by
us the fall in silver and the rise of
in the premium on gold. So the purus
chasing power of the wage of the
Id wage earner has suIfored no dim J
r- inution because of the fall in tho I
lis gold price of silver. Consequently
in he has not, and will not, sutler
from such lull. On the contrary,
to he will gain. The stimulus to in>r>
dustriai enterprises must make
n I increased demand for his labor,
I | hence he can find readier and
fuller einplovment for his time,
| 1 i
'(,1 and thus earn larger wages,albeit j
er (here is no increase in the nominal
n i rate of wages.
d And finally this increased de
| mand for his services must lead
I to an advance in wages, not an advance
coming direct ly and concur
M rently with the fall in silver and
ls hence not increasing the cost ? I
Id manufacturing wit h such fall, l>ut
! coming wit h t he stimulus given io
... iadust rv and t lie increas mI demand
made I ?r labor by the growth of
M new industries. Such advance of
'i wages has already been recorded
ii indupan?an advance!hat lias no
s kept pace with the rise of the
premium on gold but which has ;
Iv more limn kept up with tin* in
( reused cost ol living, ol theneces
i sarins ol' life, an increase that i>
*r sure to como with indiMrial ile
<1 velopim lit ami prosperity.
[,. We have further made note o|
, . 1110 fact that Mexicans look upon
ll , , i
the decline in the price of silver
''.not only as a stimulus to home
manufacturing, hut as likely to
i lead to a rapid expansion of trop
,r ' ical agriculture, the products of
l_ which command j;ohl prices. And
1 airain we ask what reason is there1
'' for this belief? The simple reason
y is that the price received for
a- evorytlutiB sold abroad has been.
yt enchanced. With the Mexican
dollar worth IS cents in New i
| York, as it was a lew weeks!
IS
since, the Mexican coffee planter
would realize.f?0?S..'M in Mexican
1 money for every 1100 worth ol i
1. coffee sold in New York. To-day >
i- with the silver dollar at 15 cents [
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