The Clinton chronicle. (Clinton, S.C.) 1901-current, February 12, 1953, Image 17
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1
The Chronicle
Strives To Be A Clean News
paper, Complete, Newsy
and Reliable
Clinton Chronirh
If You Doh’t Read
The Chronicle
You Don’t Get the News
Volume LIV
Clinton, S. C, Thursday, February 12, 1953
Number 7
A Regular Chronicle Feature
“wr 1
BABSON BELIEVES BUSINESS
CYCLE LAW, GIVES REASONS
By ROGER BABSON
SSabson Park, Fla., Feb. 9.—I don’t
believe in A Universal Business Cy
cle. I DO believe in many Business
Cycles. Under Newton’s Law of Ac
tion and Reaction, Business Cycles
are inevitaule with human nature as
it is.
Many Business Cycles
When someone tells you he does
not believe in the Business Cycle it
is because he pin
ned his faith on one
Business Cycle and
tried tb make the
same cycle apply to
the stock market,
interest rates, real
estate, labor strikes,
building, retailing,
manufacturing, etc.
Not only do all
the above have
Begcr W. B«bf«a their own Cycles,
but different industries may have
different Cycles. For instance: Wheat
has a 9.8-year Cycle; Iron and Steel
a 6-year Cycle; Automobiles a 13-
year Cycle, etc.
The Main Cycles
Although there may be a score of
different Cycles, all working at the
same time, 90 per cent of the read
ers of this column are tied up with
five main Cycles. These are: (1) THE
35-YEAR CYCLE, which applies to
agriculture, weather, insect pests,
etc. Every other 35 years the Cycle
is very severe. Hence, some talk also
about a 70-year Cycle; and others
abbut a 50-year Cycle.
The Cycle which affects us all is
(2) the approximate 9-10 YEAR
CYCLE. Every other ten years this
Cycle is especially pronounced.
Hence, some talk about (3) THE
20-YEAR CYCLE, this, particularly
discouraged and sees no hope for
stocks at any .price. On the other
hand, those who do so operate on
this Cycle Theory perform a great
pubhc service in helping to level out
business and employment conditions.
Some conservartive bankers do not
believe in any Cycle Theory because
it misses once in a while when dif
ferent cycles conflict. Furthermore,
although they admit it mi#it have
worked under a Gold Standard, it
cannot be depended upon — they
claim—with a Planned Economy and
Paper Money. My answer to them
is that they can operate on an Ac
tuarial Basis the same as insurance
companies do. Stock losses can be
averaged the same as can fires, ac
cidents and deaths.
Moybonk Asks
H-Plont Area
Housing Probe
applies to real estate, new building,
wholesale prices and general bus
iness—although, as above stated,
different lines of business vary as to
when their special 20-year CYCLE
starts and ends. Edward R. Dewey,
who is .perhaps the best living auth
ority on Cycles, shows that a 9-10
YEAR CYCLE applies to forestry,
fish life, ozone supply, atmospheric
electricity and psychological changes
in our desires and ambitions.
Stock Market Cycles
Two other common Cycles are the
422-MONTH CYCLE and the related
42 MONTH CYCLE and the related
cle usecUn the Addenda of my Au-
tiography recently published by
Harper & Brothers of New York
City. Here I show how $2,000 in
vested in 1901 in the Dow-Jones
stocks, approximately according to
this Cycle, could (as subsqeuently
adjusted to include latest data)
amout to over $1,000,000 today with
out borrowing a penny. This is
and appears in records of barometric
known as the Chapin Hoskine Cycle
pressure, sun spots, tree rings, cer
tain commodity prices and the sales
of some 25 leading U. S. corpora
tions.
Of course, all brokers ridicule this
Cycle Theory. If too many of their
customers bought stocks only once
in six years, they would starve to
dearth. Even the Mutual Investment
Funds, which last year did a busi
ness of $4,000,000, cannot afford to
go without dividends for three years
while waiting for the market to drop.
Besides, their sponsors could not
support a sales force under such con-
ditions.
Self-Control and Patience
Operating under any Cycle Theory
requires great self-control and pa
tience. It requires SELLING when
the Government, brokers and mag
azines are bullish; likewise, it re
quires BUYING when everyone is
# Thrift is a fine virtue.
But sometimes we
"save” pennies—and
lose dollars. In guard*
ing health, for exam
ple, a timely call on
your Doctor mav fore
stall a costly illness.
And—bfinp your Doc
tor’s prescriptions here.
You will find it costs
no more for the best!
Howard's Pharmacy
Phone 101
RQIABlfO
IF YOU DON’T READ
THE CHRONICLE
YOU DON’T GET THE NEWS
Washington, Feb. 9. — Senator
Bunet R. Maybank has asked At
torney General Herbert Brownell,
Jr., to investigate charges of ir
regularity in land sales and hous
ing around the H-bomb plant at
Aiken, S. C.
Maybank also asked Senator
Homer R. Capehart (R-Ind) ,as
chairman of the senate banking
committee, to request comments
from the Atomic Energy Commis
sion and the Housing and Home
Finance Agency. Maybank acted
after reading Washington newspa
per articles which implied that
several South Carolina politicians
received government permits to
build .housing for the atomic plant
employees.
Recalling that the FBI investi
gated similar reports in 1951, the
senator wrote Brownell:
“Should you find any evidence
of irregularities in the handling of
this program, it would be my wish
that you reopen this investigation
and determine once and for all the
authenticity of the innuendos im-,
plied in such stories as this one.
If you find any evidence of wrong
doing I hope you will press charges
against the guilty parties.” . j
Birds Appreciate
Clean House, Too
A quick sudsing of the bird bath
and bird house will be greatly ap
preciated by your back-from-the-
South feathered friends. Even if
stored dean for the winter, they
still accumulate dust.
Scrub each piece with a stiff
brush dipped in soapsuds. If you’ve
stored your bird bath upside down
outdoors, then it’s best to soak the
bowl section in lukewarm suds be
fore the scrubbing.
Hang the bird house high and
close to one of your favorite win
dows. Then fill the bird bath with
fresh cool water. Birds love to take
as many baths as you do.
Keep S. C. Green
Support Urged
Columbia, Feb. 8.—State Forest
er C. H. Flory, today said all-out
support of the forthcoming “Keep
South Carolina Green” campai&i
will “contribute to better living
for everyone.”
The educational program to
knock out forest fires will be
launched at a mass meeting here
February 26.
Successful control, Flory said,
would mean “woodland production
in South Carolina could be moc-
than doubled.”
He said the campaign will follow
the State Forestry Commi»k»'<
new approach to the woods fire
problem— emphasizing damage to
future woodland productivity as a
result of the death of anall trees
‘Keep South Carolina green, aa
a citizen’s movement, provide •
fresh and valuable means of tflU
ing the new story,” he said.
TAX RETURNS PREPARED
Both state and federal returns accurately
prepared
NEW ADDRESS—
501 ELIZABETH ST.
Telephone 843
JOE P. TERRY
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