The gamecock. (Columbia, S.C.) 1908-2006, September 20, 2000, Page 4, Image 4
Census response rate increases
by Randoplh Schmid
Associated Press
i
WASHINGTON —Two-thirds of Americans re
turned their census fomis tliis year, reversing a long
slide in initial participation in the official national
head count, the government reported Tuesday.
The final 2000 census response rate by mail or
Internet was 67 percent, two percentage points
higher than the mailback rate in 1990, Census Di
rector Kenneth Prewitt said.
“That result halts a... slide and actually begins
to reverse it,” said Commerce Secretary Norman
Y. Mineta.
The wider participation also saves money, Pre
witt said, because every percentage point of mailed
response represents 1.2 million households that
don’t have to be visited by Census workers.
Thanks to that improvement in response, the
$6.5 billion effort “will be in the black,” he said.
“The American people stepped forward and sent,
in their forms and that made it less expensive.”
The Census had budgeted for a 61 percent re
sponse rate, following declines from 78 percent in
1970 to 75 percent in 1980 and 65 percent in 1990.
Census field workers are now completing fol
low-up visits to homes that failed to answer their
forms, said Prewitt.
The 1990 rate was topped despite controver
sy about questions on the long form which some
people felt were intrusive. Prewitt said the return
rate for the short form was about 11 percent bet
ter than for the long form, but the difference was
made up during follow-up visits to people’s homes.
, • The actual tabulation of the nation’s popula
tion must be delivered to President Clinton by Dec.
31. The Supreme Court hist year ruled those fig
ures must be used to reapportion the 435 seats in
the House.
Population figures, adjusted by using a statisti
cal method known as “sampling,” are scheduled
for release by April 1.
Those numbers will be based on adjustments
to the head count after a survey of 314,000 house
•
holds. Sampling has provoked controversy and con
tinues to face scrutiny in Congress.
Supporters of sampling say it helps account for
people missed in prior counts, especially the poor,
minorities and inner-city residents — segments
of the population that tend to vote Democratic.
Opponents contend that only an actual head count
can be accurate.
The suite and local numbers are used in draw
ing legislative district lines and allocating billions
of dollars in federal and other aid.
The top response rate, 76 percent, was scored
by Iowa and 14 states topped 70 percent, the agency
said.
Puerto Rico had the lowest rate at 53 percent.
IMF: World
economy
improving
by Martin Crutsinger
Associated Press
WASHINGTON — The world economy should
achieve its best growth in more than a decade this
year, with conditions remaining strong in 2001,
the International Monetary Fund said Tuesday.
It warned of numerous risks to its optimistic
forecast, however, which include rising world oil
prices and record trade deficits in the United States.
The IMF said in its new Wforld Economic Out
look that conditions continue to improve after se
vere recessions caused by Asia’s financial crisis in
1997-98.
The projection of 4.7 percent growth in world
output this year represents a 0.5 percent upward re
vision from the IMF’s last forecast, issued in May.
If realized, it would mark the world’s strongest eco
nomic growth since another 4.7 percent rise in 1988.
Growth was projected at a strong rate of 4.2 per
cent in 2001, a 0.3 percent increase from prediction
in May.
“This improvement has been led by the con
tinued strength of the U.S. economy, a robust ex
pansion in Europe and a nascent — albeit still frag
ile — recovery in Japan,” IMF economists said.
The IMF outlook was released in advance of an
nual meetings of the 182-nation IMF and its sister
lending agency, the World Bank, scheduled to start
this weekend in Prague, Czech Republic. Those
meetings are expected to attract thousands of anti
globalization protesters.
While optimistic about prospects for growth,
the IMF said the economic outlook is clouded by
potential risks that include America’s soaring trade
deficit, its liigh-flying stock market and superchaiged
growth that could trigger inflation troubles in the
United States.
The imbalance in America’s current account,
the broadest measure of U.S. trade, hit a record
$331.5 billion last year and has been running this
year at an annual rate above $400 billion.
A huge U.S. trade deficit could tum into a seri
ous problem for the American economy if foreign
ers were to decide suddenly to dump dollar-de
nominated assets, which could push the U.S. currency
down sharply and trigger steep declines in U.S. stock
and bond markets.
Briefing reporters in Prague, IMF chief econ
omist Michael Mussa said it is possible the U.S. econ
omy could once again surprise forecasters with
stronger-than-expected growth next year. He said
the IMF believes “more risks are on the downside.”
The IMF said it worries also about the euro, the
new currency of 11 European countries, which has
been hitting record lows in recent weeks.
Referring to the various threats, the IMF said,
“The possibility that these imbalances may unwind
in a disorderly fashion remains a risk to the global
expansion.”
As for oil, the IMF said oil prices are about 20
percent higher than the IMF had assumed in its eco
nomic forecast, an increase of $5 a barrel. It esti
mated this should add $40 billion over a year’s time
tlio r»il ininr»rt Hillc of inHllCtnul PHIintriPS Aflfi Cllt
their economic growth by 0.2 percentage points.
A senior IMF official who briefed reporters on
the coming meetings said that “high oil prices are
a risk for next year, but in our judgment we should
not exaggerate the situation.”
This official, who spoke on condition his name
not be used, said the IMF currently calculates that
the 4.7 percent estimate for overall world growth
could be trifumed next year by between 0.3 per
centage point ;uid 0.5 percentage point if oil prices
remain above $30 per barrel for an extended time.
On Monday, oil prices soared to a new lCfyear
high of $36.88 on spot markets amid escalating ten
sions between Iraq and Kuwait and doubt among
tnideis tint OPEC’s promise to increase output would
liave much impact.
For the United Suites, IMF economists predicted
growth tills year of 5.2 percent, 0.8 percenuige point
higher tlnui the May estimate, slowing to 3.2 per
cent in 2001.
The IMF said this would represent the hoped
»■
Economy seepages
Commission wary of AOL, Time merger
by Robert Wielaard
Associated Press
BRUSSELS, Belgium — The European
Commission said Tuesday it has serious reser
vations about America Online’s proposed merg
er with Time Warner, heightening pressure on
the companies-to amend their deal.
The concerns arise in pan front the merg
er's potential to dominate the online distribu
tion of music. The European Commission is si
multaneously examining a planned joint venture
between Time Warner Inc.’s music subsidiary
and Britain’s EMI Group PLC, two of the biggest
music companies.
The snag adds to worries expressed by the
U.S. Federal Trade Commission, which is pre
pared to block the proposed $ 129 billion deal
unless the companies agree to let competing
services use their high-speed cable lines.
A spokeswoman for the European Com
mission, the administrative body of the Euro
pean Union, declined to confirm reports Tues
day that the EU stood ready to block the Time
Wamer-AOL merger. But she said the EU re
mained concerned about the proposal.
The commission has set an Oct. 24 dead
line to rule on the AOL-Time Warner deal and
Oct. 18 deadline for Winter Music’s venture
with EMI. Time Winter and AOL have until
Sunday to offer concessions.
EMI issued a statement in London on Tues
day saying it has sent EU Competition Com
missioner Mario Monti “a balanced set of reme
dies intended comprehensively to address the
issues raised by the Commission (and) intend
ed to increase competition across the European
music industry.” It did not elaborate.
EU officials have never hid their doubts
about both ventures.
When it launched its extended probe into
the Tune Wimer-AOLmetger in June, the Eu
ropean Commission cited concerns the two com
panies would hog the market for Internet mu
sic distribution, Internet dial-up access and con
tent.
“We’re talking mainly about the concerns
expressed in June,” European Commission
spokeswoman Amelia Torres said Tuesday.
The European Commission has said Warn
er Music’s venture with EMI — which markets
the music of The Beatles, The Spice Girls, Garth
Brooks, Pink Floyd and many others — could
harm fair competition in sales of recorded mu
sic, music’publication and the digital delivery
of music.
Time Warner and AOL played down con
cerns about a possible EU veto of their deal.
“This is a normal part of the process with
the EU. We are totally comfortable with where
we are at this stage of the negotiations,” the two
companies said Monday in a joint statement.
Time Winner and AOL need European an
titrust approval if they want to do business in
the 15-nation EU.
r
Many Kosovars might boycott election
by Merita Dhimgjoka
Associated Press
KOSOVSKA MITROVICA, Yugoslavia —
A dark red marble marker overlooking Kosovo’s
tensest community stands as a lonely relic of
the years when Seths and Albanians fought a com
mon enemy, the Nazis, instead of each other.
It’s a reminder, as Yugoslavia heads into elec
tions Sept. 24 with Slobodan Milosevic fighting
to stay on as president, that things were once very
different — that in its communist period Yu
goslavia’s official credo was ethnic tolerance, and
many of its citizens actually believed in it.
Nowadays the memorial to those who “gave
their lives for the freedom of the future genera
tions” is overshadowed by other realities — the
antennas and radio transmitters set up by NATO
and the United Nations charged with keeping the
peace between Serbs and Albanians.
Below the monument lies kosovska Mitro
vica, divided into hostile halves.
The presidential and parliamentary elections
include Kosovo, which nominally remains part
of the Balkan federation despite being under NA
TO and U.N. control.
But the Serbs of Kosovska Mitrovica have
other concerns — the approach of winter, and
the fear of their Albanian neighbors, still in a venge
ful mood over the Serb crackdown that led to the
NATO bombing last year.
Most of the 200,000-strong Serb minority has
fled Kosovo. Those who remain are pressed in
to NATO-protected enclaves, and they are angry
— with the West for taking the Albanian side, but
also, in many cases, with Milosevic for causing
the war.
The Yugoslav president rose to power more
than a decade ago by promising to protect all of
Yugoslavia’s Serbs. Instead, after goading Serbs
into war tirst in Croatia, then Bosnia, and finally
in Kosovo, he abandoned them, leaving them to
the mercies of rival ethnic groups now in control.
Still, Milosevic seems to hope Kosovo can
help him win the election against his main rival,
Vojislav Kostunica, who is presently ahead in the
polls.
Most of Kosovo’s 2 million Albanians, hav
ing fought to break away from Serbia, will like
ly boycott the elections. So will many Serbs, ac
cording to some of their moderate leaders.
Still, it is feared a boycott will play into Milo
sevic’s hands by allowing him to claim the votes
of those who stayed away.
That should be relatively easy. The United
Nations and NATO have said they will not
monitor the voting, and restrict their role to keep
ing the peace. Thus, like elsewhere in Yugoslavia,
there will be no independent verification of who
voted for whom.
U.S. joins deep-sea
exploration program
by Randolph e. Schmid
Associated Press
WASHINGTON— With the impact of the
oceans on weather and climate becoming in
creasingly apparent, scientists are launching an
ambitious worldwide effort to test the waters.
They are planning to Launch some 3,000 ob
servation buoys to measure the temperature and
salinity of the oceans that cover nearly three
quarters of the planet’s surface.
The United States’ participation in the in
ternational effort, known as Argo, was announced
Tuesday by Commerce Secretary Norman Y.
Mineta.
“We are taking the plunge to understand our
oceans,” he said. “What happens in the deep
oceans is a big part of where the weather pat
terns begin.”
Sample buoys have already been deployed
and a ship was setting sail from San Diego Tues
day to launch six more, said D. James Baker,
head of the National Oceanic and Atniospheric
Administration.
The buoys will enable scientists to study fur
ther the impact of the oceans. Some of these ef
fects are known already.
It’s the change in the surface temperatures
in the Pacific Ocean that drives the El Nino and
La Nina phenomena that have affected weath
er around the world — sometimes in spectac
ular and disastrous ways.
It’s the warm tropical waters that provide
moisture and eneigy to generate the great storms
known as hurricanes and typhoons.
And it’s the Atlantic Ocean’s mild Gulf
Stream that keeps the climate of Europe warm
and pleasant, compared to other regions at the
same latitude.
The Aigo probes will test the waters where
only occasional surface ship measurements have
been available before.
The buoys initially will be distributed about
185 miles apart and when deployed they will
sink to a level 2,000 meters —just over a mile
— deep where they will drift for 10 days.
The buoys will then surface, measuring
the temperature and salinity of the layers of wa
ter they pass through. Once on the surface, they
will radio their position and data to a satellite
and sink again for another 10-day drift.
The data collected will be retrieved from
the satellites and made available freely to all in
terested scientists for use in computers that help
forecast the weather and to better understand
how the oceans operate.
The deep-water measurements will provide
vertical profiles of water conditions similar to
the atmospheric measurements currently col
lected by balloons.
The movement of the probes a mile below
the surface will help chart deep currents in the
oceans. The temperature profiles will give sci
entists information on the energy contained in
the waters and the salinity helps them under
stand its density.
For example, the giant Gulf Stream moves
warm tropical water northeastward across the
Atlantic, moderating the climate of Europe
before cooling and sinking for a return trip south
deep in the oceans.
Some scientists fear that global warming
could melt the Arctic ice cap, sending masses of
Water SEE PAGE 5
Russian court
refuses to free
American prisoner
by Judith Ingram
Associated Press
MOSCOW — A Moscow court on Tuesday
turned down an appeal for freedom by Ameri
can Edmund Pope, who has been jailed for five
months on espionage chaiges.
Pope had asked to be freed from jail so that
he could undeigo treatment for cancer. But the
Moscow city court ruled that the espionage charge
was too serious to merit freeing him. He will re
main in custody, the court’s secretary said.
“The judicial authorities have decided they’ll
observe the letter of the law, without paying
attention to the spirit of the law,” said Pavel As
takhov, Pope’s lawyer.
According to his family, Pope has a rare form
of bone cancer that was in remission when he
was arrested. They aigue that he can’t get ade
quate medical attention in jail.
Astakhov said his client needed English
speaking doctors. And Pope himself said that
he needed cancer specialists.
“I need proper care, I need someone who’s
qualified and who understands the type of can
cer that I’ve been threatened by,” he said from
the defendant’s cage in the courtroom, where he
stood to hear the court’s ruling.
Russia’s Federal Security Service said that
Pope was well enough to remain in custody. It
said that cancer specialists had examined Pope
on Thursday.
“Nothing indicating that his disease is pro
gressing was found,” security service spokesman
Vasily Stavilsky said.
Prisoner see pact 5
News Briefs
■ Senate votes on
China trade bill
WASHINGTON (AP) — Congress is
about to change the nature of U.S.
China trade relations in a vote support
ers say will add a critical element of
stability between the two nations.
Senate passage Tuesday of the PN
TR, or permanent normal trade rela
tions, bill is near certain, sending the
legislation to President Clinton for his
•signature.
The measure is aimed at opening
up China’s markets, bringing billions in
new business to American companies
and making China a more responsible
and accountable member of the world
■ Buchanan visits
Greenville, attacks
U.N., Hollywood
GREENVILLE (AP) —Pat
Buchanan was as feisty as ever and
richer than before as he restarted his
presidential campaign at fundamental
ist Bob Jones University.
Decrying moral decay out of Hol
lywood, he said: “Instead of breaking
up Microsoft, why don’t we break up
Disney?”
Attacking what he sees as a drift to
one-world government, he said the
United States should kick the United
Nations headquarters out of the coun
try. That brought the heartiest applause
from the 2,000 students and supporters
who showed up Monday night to see
the conservative commentator, recent
ly sidelined by gall bladder surgery, try
to rev up his campaign.
■ Town gives
survivor Richard
honorary day
MIDDLETOWN, R.I. (AP) — In
August, “Survivor” winner Richard
Hatch sued his hometown. Now the
city has named a day after him.
Hatch was presented with a com
memorative town tile and a proclama
tion on “Honorary Richard Hatch
Day”—Sept. 18,2000 — inacere
mony that highlighted the 39-year
old’s ingenuity and guile but avoided
talk of the litigation.
Not long after Hatch returned from
filming “Survivor,” police charged
him with second-degree child abuse of
his 9-year-old adopted son. Prosecu
tors decided last month to drop the
charge.
Hatch now is seeking unspecified
damages from the state Department of
Children, Youth and Families.
■ Japan beats
United States
in softball
BLACKTOWN, Australia (AP)
— Stretched to 11 innings for the first
time in two years, the U.S. softball
leant gave up a pair of unearned runs
on Dot Richardson’s two errors to
hand Japan a 2-1 victory Tuesday and
snap a 112-game winning streak.
The game was the Americans’
longest since playing 12 innings against
Australia in the 1998 world champi
onships; that wits also their last loss.
Even with the end of the winning
streak, the defending Olympic champi
ons’ have their medal hopes intact.
The top four in the eight-team (
tournament advance to the medal
round, and the favored Americans can
still finish first.
■ Bomb kills 16 in
Pakistan’s capital
ISLAMABAD, Pakistan (AP) —
A bomb placed in a crate of grapes
ripped through a crowded market
Tuesday morning, killing 16 people
and wounding more than 80 in Pak
istan’s capital, police said.
The blast was the deadliest of 40
bombings that have rocked Pakistani
cities this year, and the government
has blamed arch rival India for many of
the previous attacks. £
No group immediately claimed re
sponsibility.